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The diagnostic proves it. The score runs it. The playbooks compound it.

Tacet is one engine sold as three products: the free Diagnostic on your own data, the Forward CLV subscription that delivers the scores to Klaviyo, and the Playbooks the model personalizes to your customer base.

One engine, three products.

The Diagnostic proves the engine on your data. Forward CLV runs it daily. Playbooks compound it. Each product earns the next; nothing is sold on a promise the previous one didn't already prove.

Free

The Diagnostic

A forward-value audit of your customer base.

You give

One read-only connection.

You get

Every customer scored, net of returns, with the model's own back-test on your history. Yours to keep either way.

Daily

Forward CLV

The score, live in your stack.

You give

$499 a month, first 100,000 customers included. Larger stores pay per customer scored. 30-day trial.

You get

Daily re-scores, named properties on every Klaviyo profile, new high-value customers flagged on entry, the monthly brief.

Included

Playbooks

Measured interventions on the customer pools the model nominates.

You give

Included in the subscription. Nothing is sent without your admin's approval.

You get

The send in your own Klaviyo account, a controlled experiment, a written verdict. Nulls get retired.

One read-only Shopify connection is the whole diagnostic integration. The subscription adds a Klaviyo sign-in. No engineering time on your side, at any point.

This is the diagnostic. Yours arrives on your data.

The free analysis returns a read like this: customer tiers, value concentration, named leak sources, and the model's own back-test on your history.

A forward CLV score for every customer

Not what a customer has spent, but what they will contribute, in dollars, net of returns and discounts. Scored the day they place their first order.

Where your value actually concentrates

Your book ranked by forward value, so you can see the thin top tier worth a multiple of the rest, and fund acquisition and retention toward it.

Where contribution leaks

The exact dollars lost to returns on high-AOV buyers, discount stacking on customers who'd pay full price, and win-back spend on customers who never come back.

The back-test, published

How well the model predicted a slice of your own history it never saw: aggregate revenue accuracy and value-ranking accuracy, before anything directs a dollar.

In your hands after the Diagnostic

  • Every customer scored by forward value, yours to keep either way
  • The model's back-test: how well it predicted a held-out slice of your own history
  • Where your value concentrates, and where it leaks
Forward CLV Diagnostic
Illustrative sample

Forward value per customer, by tier

Tier 1 · Compounders$1,840

8% of customers

Tier 2 · Steady$610

19% of customers

Tier 3 · Fragile$155

41% of customers

Tier 4 · Value-marginal$9

32% of customers

Where contribution leaks

Discount stacking on Tier 1$214k
Returns on high-AOV buyers$168k
Win-back spend on Tier 4$96k

Recommended reallocation

Move $310k from Tier 4 win-back into Tier 1 retention. Projected 12-mo net contribution +$1.2M to +$1.9M (95% CI).

Figures illustrative. Your diagnostic is computed on your customers, from your own order history.

The score, live in the stack you already run.

Forward CLV is a subscription that re-scores daily. Your ESP already knows how to send; it doesn't know who is worth it. Tacet supplies that one missing input.

  • Every customer re-scored daily as new orders, returns, and discounts land
  • Named properties written to every Klaviyo profile, forward value and archetype, so your team can segment on them directly, like "Tacet · Top decile forward value"
  • New high-value customers flagged the day they enter, not a year after the spend
  • A monthly brief: score movement, new entrants, and one honest read on what changed

How it connects

Shopify

orders · returns · discounts · read-only

Tacet · Forward CLV

every customer scored daily, net of returns

Klaviyo

segments · profile properties · paid audiences

No new build on your side. In a recent controlled trial, the winning flow ran entirely inside the client’s existing account.

Forward CLV · Monthly Brief
Illustrative sample

The month in numbers

Customers re-scored94,200
New high-value entrants, flagged into Klaviyo214
Customers that changed tier486
Top-decile forward value, month over month+2.4%

The honest read

Value creation held steady. One watch item: new top-decile entrants slowed 8% month over month as acquisition mix drifted toward discount-led channels.

Segments in Klaviyo, refreshed from the properties

Tacet · Top decile forward value9,180
Tacet · High-value one-time buyers3,410
Tacet · Sleeping giants1,020
Tacet · Promo-dependent repeaters2,150

Scores refresh daily; this brief lands monthly. Your flows and paid audiences pick the changes up automatically.

Figures illustrative. Your customers are scored daily; the brief is computed monthly.

The model nominates the playbook. The experiment renders the verdict.

Playbooks are not templates. Forward CLV identifies which pools of your customers can pay for an intervention, and every playbook ships with its own controlled experiment. The ones that read null get retired.

The flow. Built in your own Klaviyo account, sent only after your admin approves it

The experiment. Read dates and stopping rules set before launch, with a comparison group held back

The verdict. A written read at the end: scale it, or retire it

Second Purchase

High-value one-time buyers

Roughly four in five DTC customers buy exactly once, and a second purchase multiplies expected value five to nine times depending on category. This playbook spends only on the one-timers worth converting.

Get the free manual

Subscription Conversion

Repeat buyers with subscription-shaped cadence

Converts your steadiest repeaters into committed recurring revenue, the most durable asset a DTC book can hold.

Sleeping Giants

Dormant high-value customers

Wakes the lapsed customers whose forward value justifies the spend, and lets the rest sleep.

High-Value Protection

The thin top tier

Defends the customers carrying most of your forward value before their churn shows up in a report.

Discount Weaning

Promo-dependent repeaters

Recovers margin from customers trained to wait for a code, without losing them.

The library grows as the model surfaces new pools. Each playbook targets a non-overlapping set of customers, so the value stacks rather than competes.

Playbook Verdict · Second Purchase
Illustrative sample

Final read · week 8 of 8 · pre-registered

Cohort held constant · bootstrap intervals

+$2.90net forward value per customer

95% CI +$0.60 to +$5.20 · vs control

Verdict · Scale

The offer arm held a confidently positive lift across the full window. Recommendation: roll the flow to the full eligible pool. Next read in 90 days.

Prior variant · reminder without offer

$0.00 per customer · CI spans zero · all 8 reads

Verdict · Retire

Every playbook ends in one of two words. The ones that read null get retired.

How pricing works.

One subscription, one public price, no fee per play. The shape of it is simple, and there are no surprises inside it.

The Diagnostic

No charge

Run before you subscribe. How both sides find out whether there is enough value in your book to go further.

  • One read-only connection
  • Every customer scored, with the back-test
  • Yours to keep. Customer data deleted if you uninstall
Request the diagnostic

Forward CLV

From $499 a month

Your first 100,000 customers are included. Above that, $0.01 to $0.004 per customer scored. No free plan.

  • 30-day trial. Month to month, no annual lock-in
  • Daily re-scores, Klaviyo properties, and the monthly brief included
  • The verdict renews the contract, not a term sheet

Playbooks

Included

Plays, approvals, and measured results are part of the subscription.

  • No fee per play
  • Nothing is sent without your admin's approval
  • Nulls get retired: we stop running what doesn't work

Stores above 250,000 customers are priced on request. Stores that install through Shopify are billed through Shopify.

Start with the Diagnostic.

The free diagnostic replaces every illustrative figure above with your customers' actual forward value, and you keep the report whether or not we go further.

Read-only access · No deck required · You keep the analysis either way